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IMAREX - ASIAN CLEAN TANKER FFA REPORT 1 July, 2009

IMAREX - ASIAN CLEAN TANKER FFA REPORT

1 July, 2009

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Clean Tanker FFA Summary:

TC4 (MR SG-JP 30KT) All of the clean market was in the red yesterday. Jul paper was consistently given at 88, Aug at 98 and Q3 at 96 & 95. The close saw Jul 85 at 87, Q3 92.5 at 95 and Q4 101 at 103. This market is still showing some decent contango as spot has not risen over the last two weeks along with TC5.

 

TC5 (LR1 AG-JP 55KT) A further erosion of contango took place with Jul paper dipping from 102 to sub-100 then recovering later. Q4 was given at 107 three times before getting lifted at 108. The close saw Jul 98 at 102, Q3 102 at 107 and Q4 108 at 109 for what is now a remarkably flat curve.

 

TC11 (TRIAL SKOR–SING 40KT) The month ended with a third consecutive day of decline. $8.98 was down 7¢ for a total of 22¢ from the peak. (see chart below)

 

TC2

NET

TC4

NET

TC5

NET

SPOT

102.92

-1.04

76.00

+0.00

94.00

+0.00

JUN

102.24

-0.76

74.41

-0.09

87.55

-0.45

JUL

108.00

-3.00

86.00

-2.50

100.00

-3.00

AUG

112.00

-2.00

98.00

-4.00

106.00

-2.00

Q309

111.00

-2.33

94.00

-4.83

104.00

-2.33

Q409

114.00

-1.00

103.00

-3.00

108.00

-1.00

Q110

157.00

-1.00

149.00

-1.00

151.00

-1.00

Physical market talking levels:

MR: Sing/Jpn estimate W75 We’re running out of synonyms for “dull” here. One leading publication pointed out what we noticed last week, that the AG has a particularly long tonnage list, and that the Singapore market is slow. Welcome to the party.

 

LR1: Ag/Jpn estimate W94 We’re beginning to have our doubts here. The talk in the physical market is of owners asking for triple digits, but the paper market has at this point almost leveled through the calendar. The DIFKO CHASER is a 1990 built girl, and although just reported to us yesterday, was likely fixed early last week. China discharge, depending on where, can make a 5-10 pt difference vs Japan. As such, we’re not taking this one as a good example of market level.

 

LR2: Ag/Jpn estimate W85 Nothing new to report.

 

Reported fixtures:

ST TBN

35

CPP

06-Jul

WCI

EAFR

W105

 

SITME

ST TBN

35

CPP

08-Jul

AG

EAFR

W107.5

SUBS

BP

FORMOSA 16

30

CPP

1-Jul

SING

S CHINA

$240K

 

UNIPEC

BREEZY VICTORIA

55

NAP

07-Jul

R SEA

JPN

$1.72M

FXD

TOTAL

DIFKO CHASER

55

NAP

19-Jul

AG

CHINA

W95

FXD

CHINAOIL

ST TBN

65

JET

20-Jul

AG

UKC

$1.65M

RPTD

CNR

TAIYOH 2

55

NAP

END/7

AG

SKOR

W95

FLD

CNR

VITOL TBN

LR1

NAP

Mid-JUL

MED

EAST

$1.85M

 

CLEARLAKE

STARLING

60

CPP

12-Jul

F EAST

WEST

$1.575m

SUBS

CNR

Posted on Wed, July 1, 2009 at 03:19 by Registered Commenterton mile spore | CommentsPost a Comment

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